Shell shares ‘Sky Scenario’ in Thailand, Illustrates a technically possible, but challenging pathway for society to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement
Aug 10, 2018
Bangkok, Thailand - The Shell Company of Thailand Limited today introduced “Sky”, Shell’s latest scenario in Thailand at a Shell forum themed “Energy Transition for Thailand’s Future”. The forum is one of the key efforts by the Shell Company of Thailand to drive sustainable energy initiatives under its new mission “More and Cleaner Energy.”
The Sky Scenario presents a technologically, industrially and economically possible route to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit the rise in temperatures to well below two degrees Celsius (2°C) from pre-industrial levels. Sky reveals the potential for an energy system to emerge that brings modern energy to all in the world, without delivering a climate legacy that society cannot readily adapt to. Consumers, companies and governments will face tough choices and the paths towards lower-carbon energy will vary by country and sector. Over the course of 50 years, it transforms the way society uses and produces energy. For example, there could be a change in consumer mindset to choose low-carbon, high-efficiency options, and the growth of new energy sources such as renewables.
Asada Harinsuit, Chairman, The Shell Company of Thailand Limited, said: “Shell Thailand is committed to supporting the Government of Thailand’s aspirations for a lower carbon energy system. Through events like this forum, we hope to encourage dialogue and collaboration between the public and private sectors and civil society as our country starts to adapt and prepare for the energy transition. We need support in terms of policy from the government sector, the encouragement of innovation and new technologies, for example, biofuel engines by car manufacturers; the use of more advanced technologies by bioenergy manufacturers to improve production. The combined effort is needed to meet the increasing demand for more and cleaner energy.”
During the forum, speakers introduced new perspectives on the energy transition with the aim of supporting Thailand’s Energy 4.0 policy, which focuses on a successful transition to clean energy in the future. Speakers also spoke on the national policy, the possibilities for new types of energy, how society uses and produces energy and sharing Shell’s expertise and knowledge with Thailand. This is the first time the Sky publication is being officially shared in Thailand since the scenario was released by Shell in March 2018,” Asada added.
Dr. Siri Jirapongphan, Minister of Energy, commented on Thailand’s energy development directions stating: “With solid planning from the government, strong collaboration with the private sector and the development of price mechanisms, Thailand is able to move forward with renewable energy and become one of the leading countries in this sector in South East Asia. This is part of the national policy known as Energy 4.0, in which the government focuses on achieving a sustainable future in energy and gaining access to energy at reasonable cost, which is key to a sustainable and fair society. The effort to increase the ratio of renewable energy has been constant and the aim is to achieve a ratio of 30% by the year 20361.”
Speaking at the forum, Dr. Cho Khong, Shell’s Chief Political Analyst and part of the Shell Scenarios team, said: “Shell has been developing energy-focused scenarios for almost 50 years. Our latest Sky Scenario presents a possible pathway for decarbonising the global economy and achieving net-zero emissions from energy use by 2070. The Scenarios are neither predictions nor Shell’s business plan. They are not policy proposals, but we hope this contribution is helpful to finding solutions. The Paris Agreement has sent a signal around the world; If government, industry and society work together, there is the potential for a very different energy system to emerge.”
Sky is one of the scenarios in Shell’s New Lens Scenarios (NLS), which explore possible ways the future of energy system could unfold. The Sky scenario is published five years after Mountains and Oceans, the scenarios that presented pathways to developing energy systems for the 21st century. The three main scenarios describe a wide range of possible outcomes for the energy system and show we expect demand for oil and gas to be higher in 2030 than today. Sky shows the most rapid transition to lower-carbon energy. In Sky, the world will still need 85% of today’s oil and gas production at mid-century, dropping to 30-40% by the end of the century.
In all three scenarios, investment in new oil and gas production will remain essential to meet society’s ongoing demand for oil and gas for decades to come. For more information, visit www.shell.com/skyscenario.
1 Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency, 2015
Country Manager - External Relations
The Shell Company of Thailand
T +66 (0) 2 262 7326
H+K Strategies Thailand
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